1 Oz Krugerrand
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Daily Gold Market Analysis- 14 March 2025

14 March 2025
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change ZAR
Change %
Gold
57688
56590
57628
56691
+937.00
+1.65%

Today’s analysis offers a comprehensive examination of the gold markets, highlighting both the fundamental and technical factors influencing current trends. Our report is designed to provide investors with the insights necessary to navigate these markets successfully.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices remain well-supported by the uncertainty surrounding President Trump’s aggressive trade policies. Expectations of a Fed rate cut further boost the yellow metal, although a slight uptick in the USD limits additional gains. A shift in global risk sentiment could warrant caution for XAU/USD bulls. Following another record rally, gold is on track to secure its second consecutive weekly gain, rising approximately 2.5% so far this week. Trump’s trade war, along with growing expectations of monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve, has fueled the surge in gold prices. However, renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury bond yields present challenges to gold’s bullish momentum. An improvement in risk sentiment, driven by the avoidance of a US government shutdown and hopes for a US-Canada trade truce, has reduced demand for US government bonds, pushing Treasury yields and the USD higher.

Gold

Gold prices are consolidating near record highs, hovering close to $3,000 amidst escalating trade tensions. However, gold buyers seem to be exercising caution, as the recent rally stalled just below the $3,000 psychological level. The Stochastic Oscillator stands at 92, while the Relative Strength Index is at 68.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
53780
54035
54350
54512
54750
55000
55300

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastic Oscillator: Measures momentum by comparing the closing price to its price range over a specified period. It signals overbought conditions when above 80 and oversold conditions when below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Assesses price movements to determine overbought or oversold conditions. A reading above 70 indicates overbought, while below 30 suggests oversold.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
6:00pm
57.9
63.1
64.7
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
6:00pm
4.9%
4.3%
4.3%

Conclusion

In the dynamic and constantly changing bullion markets, staying informed through both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making sound investment decisions. Our report aims to offer a balanced perspective to help investors navigate the complexities of gold trading.

 

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only, based on data from reliable sources, and is not intended as investment advice. ISA GOLD (Pty) Ltd makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the report and disclaims any liability for losses resulting from reliance on this information. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA GOLD (Pty) Ltd, including its directors, partners, officers, employees, and agents, expressly disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided.