1 Oz Krugerrand
Selling
R
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Buying
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Daily Gold Market Analysis- 04 April 2025

04 April 2025
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change ZAR
Change %
Gold
63000
60525
61333
62311
-978.00
-1.57%

Today’s analysis offers a detailed overview of the gold markets, highlighting the fundamental and technical factors shaping current trends. Our report is designed to provide investors with the insights necessary to navigate these markets successfully.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices remain near $3,100, with a bullish outlook ahead of the US Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report. On Friday, gold faces fresh selling pressure, though the downside appears limited. The risk-off sentiment, driven by Trump’s tariffs, may continue to support the precious metal. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are weighing on the USD, which should help limit losses for the XAU/USD pair. Focus now shifts to the key US employment data set to be released later in Friday’s session, followed by a speech from Fed Chair Powell. These events will provide the market with valuable insights into the US labor market and economic outlook, helping shape expectations for future Fed rate cuts.

Gold

Gold prices retreat to around $3,100, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) easing from overbought territory, signaling the potential for a new upswing. If gold manages to close the week above the $3,100 level, bullish momentum will likely continue; otherwise, a move below this level could bring the $3,050 psychological support into focus for sellers. On the flip side, if buying pressure resurges, gold would need to retest its record high of $3,168. A sustained move above this level could trigger a fresh uptrend, targeting the $3,200 mark. The Stochastic Oscillator is at 64, and the RSI stands at 68.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
60622
61058
61425
61798
62134
62475
62790

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastic Oscillator: Measures momentum by comparing the closing price to its price range over a set period. It indicates overbought conditions when above 80 and oversold conditions when below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Assesses price movements to determine overbought or oversold conditions. An RSI above 70 signals overbought, while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
4:30pm
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Non-Farm Employment Change
4:30pm
228K
137K
151K
Unemployment Rate
4:30pm
4.2%
4.1%
4.1%
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
4:30pm
NA
NA
NA

Conclusion

In the dynamic and constantly changing bullion markets, staying informed through both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making informed investment decisions. Our report aims to offer a balanced perspective to help investors navigate the complexities of gold trading.

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and is based on data from reliable sources. It is not intended as investment advice. ISA GOLD (Pty) Ltd makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the report and disclaims any liability for losses that may result from reliance on this information. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA GOLD (Pty) Ltd, along with its directors, partners, officers, employees, and agents, disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage resulting from the use or reliance on the information provided.