Today’s analysis offers a thorough exploration of the gold markets, highlighting the key fundamental and technical factors influencing current trends. Our goal is to equip investors with the insights and understanding necessary to navigate these markets with confidence and clarity.
Gold prices have entered a bullish consolidation phase after reaching a new all-time high on Thursday. A slight rebound in the US Dollar and an improved risk sentiment are limiting further gains, especially as the metal remains in overbought territory. However, ongoing US-China trade tensions, growing recession fears, and expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support the XAU/USD pair.
This week’s renewed rally in gold can largely be attributed to the escalating US-China trade conflict and uncertainty surrounding the implementation of US tariffs across major trading partners. Demand for safe-haven assets remains strong, fueled by persistent concerns over a potential US recession.
That said, a short-term corrective pullback may be on the cards as traders look to lock in profits ahead of the Good Friday holiday, when trading volumes are expected to thin. With ongoing tariff uncertainty, markets may also opt to reposition in anticipation of fresh trade developments next week.
In the near term, attention will turn to the upcoming meeting between President Trump and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, set for later on Thursday. Meanwhile, Bloomberg has reported that the European Union expects most US tariffs to remain in place, following limited progress in recent negotiations. Gold traders will also be closely watching this week’s US jobless claims and housing data for further market cues.
The daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains deep in overbought territory, currently hovering around 75, suggesting a potential near-term correction. However, if gold buyers manage to secure a daily close above the $3,360 level, the next upside target could be the $3,420 zone. On the flip side, a pullback may initially find support near the $3,290 demand area, with further downside potentially testing the $3,265 psychological level. A break below that could expose the $3,230 support. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator sits at 74, while the RSI holds steady at 75.
In the fast-paced and constantly shifting bullion markets, staying informed through both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making sound investment choices. This report aims to deliver a well-balanced perspective to help investors confidently navigate the complexities of gold trading.